Two election polls commissioned by different Georgian TV channels show large difference in results

Election polls commissioned by Rustavi 2 and Mtavari Arkhi were released yesterday. Photo: Nino Alavidze/Agenda.ge.

Agenda.ge, 19 Oct 2020 - 13:06, Tbilisi,Georgia

The recent election polls commissioned by Rustavi 2 TV channel which was conducted by British company Survation say that the ruling Georgian Dream party is expected to receive almost 56 per cent of votes, while polls commissioned by the opposition-minded TV channel Mtavari Arkhi says the party will receive 26,2 per cent of votes in the October 31 parliamentary elections. 

Both polls were released yesterday. Rustavi 2 commissioned polls were conducted between September 12 and 29, while Mtavari Arkhi commissioned polls - between 8 and 15 October. 

The polls commissioned by Rustavi 2 read that if the elections were held today the parties will receive: 

  • Georgian Dream - 55.6 %
  • United National Movement - 19.8 %
  • European Georgia - 5.2 %
  • Giorgi Vashadze-Strategy Builder - 5.1 %
  • Alliance of Patriots - 3.8 %
  • Lelo - 3.1 %
  • Labour Party - 2.7 %
  • United Georgia - 1.1 %
  • Free Democrats - 0.2 %
  • Others - 1.3 % 

In response to the same question the results released by Mtavari Arkhi commissioned polls are as follows: 

  • Georgian Dream - 26.2 %
  • United National Movement - 17.8 
  • Giorgi Vashadze-Strategy Builder - 5.3 %
  • European Georgia - 5.1 %
  • Lelo - 2.7 %
  • Girchi - 2.7 %
  • Labour Party - 2.1 %
  • Alliance of Patriots - 1.2 %
  • Undecided - 34 % 

PM Giorgi Gakharia has stated that elections will not be postponed. Photo: government of Georgia press office. 

The 2020 parliamentary elections will be held in a different manner - 120 seats in parliament will be distributed based on the votes received in proportional elections, while remaining 30 per the votes received in majoritarian elections (instead of the 76/73 electoral system). 

The mandates in the proportional elections will be distributed among parties and election blocs which receive at least one per cent of the vote. 

Blocs will be allowed in the 2020 elections. However, with a different election threshold. The percentage of votes received by election blocs must at least amount to 1 percent x number of the parties in the bloc.